How to Calculate Baseball WAR: 6 Steps
Step 1: Understanding WAR
To start, you must first understand what the Wins Above Replacement (WAR) statistic is. In the world of baseball, WAR is a comprehensive metric that indicates a player’s overall contribution to their team based on various individual statistics. Essentially, it represents the number of additional wins a player contributes to their team compared to a replacement-level player, such as a minor-league call-up or bench player.
Step 2: Obtaining the Necessary Data
To calculate a player’s WAR, you will need several pieces of data. This includes the player’s Batting Runs, Base Running Runs, Fielding Runs, Positional Runs, and League & Replacement runs. These statistics can be found on various websites such as Baseball-Reference or FanGraphs. Be sure to use reliable sources so that your calculation is accurate
Step 3: Calculate Offensive WAR (oWAR)
First, calculate the offensive portion of WAR by adding together Batting Runs and Base Running Runs. The resulting number represents the player’s total offensive contribution.
oWAR = Batting Runs + Base Running Runs
Step 4: Calculate Defensive WAR (dWAR)
Next, calculate the defensive portion of WAR by adding together Fielding Runs and Positional Runs. This will give you an idea of how well the player performs defensively.
dWAR = Fielding Runs + Positional Runs
Step 5: Combine oWAR and dWAR
To get a more complete picture, simply add oWAR and dWAR together. This will provide an initial estimate for your player’s overall performance.
Initial WAR Estimate = oWAR + dWAR
Step 6: Adjust for League & Replacement Level Runs
Finally, in order to convert your initial estimate into true WAR value, you will need to adjust for league difficulty and replaceability. This is accomplished by adding League & Replacement runs to your initial estimate.
Total WAR = Initial WAR Estimate + League & Replacement Runs
In summary, calculating a baseball player’s WAR involves gathering necessary data, splitting performance into offensive and defensive metrics, and finally adjusting for league factors. By following these 6 steps, you can begin to understand not only the WAR, but also the value of each player within the sport.