How to calculate required return
Calculating the required return is essential for investors in determining the minimum return needed to justify an investment. It represents the desired rate of return from an investment project or asset, taking into consideration the risk involved. Whether you’re an investor, financial analyst or entrepreneur, understanding how to calculate the required return will help you make informed decisions. This article will guide you through the process and cover various methods of calculating required return.
Method 1: The Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is often used to estimate the required return on equity investments, such as stocks. DDM calculates the present value of future dividend payments that are expected to be distributed by a company.
Formula: Required Return = (Dividends per Share / Current Price per Share) + Dividend Growth Rate
Steps:
1. Obtain the current price per share of the stock.
2. Determine the annual dividend payment per share.
3. Estimate the dividend growth rate.
4. Plug these values into the formula to derive the required return.
Method 2: The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is widely used in finance for determining an expected return on an asset. CAPM takes into consideration three components: risk-free rate, beta (representing systematic risk), and market risk premium.
Formula: Required Return = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * (Market Return – Risk-Free Rate)
Steps:
1. Obtain the risk-free rate, which is usually represented by a government bond yield.
2. Determine the beta of the asset or investment you’re analyzing.
3. Calculate market return based on historical data or benchmarks such as S&P 500 index returns.
4. Plug these values into the formula to calculate required return.
Method 3: The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Model
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is useful for calculating the required return on investments that generate cash flows, such as bonds and real estate. DCF calculates the present value of future cash flows generated by an investment, discounted by the required return.
Formula: Required Return = [(1 + Discount Rate) ^ (1 / Number of Periods)] – 1
Steps:
1. Determine the discount rate, which takes into account expected return, inflation, and risk factors.
2. Estimate the number of periods or years for the investment horizon.
3. Plug these values into the formula to derive the required return.
Conclusion
In conclusion, there are various methods for calculating required return depending on your investment type. The Dividend Discount Model is suitable for equity investments such as stocks, while Capital Asset Pricing Model can be applied more broadly to different asset classes. The Discounted Cash Flow model is best suited for investments generating cash flows over time. As an investor or financial analyst, mastering these methods will help you make informed decisions about your investments and ensure they align with your financial goals.